Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I-Vt.) leads the Democratic 2020 primary field in the Super Tuesday states of North Carolina and Texas, while Sen. Amy KlobucharAmy KlobucharHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Democrats demand Republican leaders examine election challenges after Georgia voting chaos Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk MORE leads in her home state of Minnesota, according to new polls released Thursday by the University of Massachusetts Lowell.
Sanders registered the support of 23 percent of likely voters in North Carolina, followed by former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg with 19 percent, former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE with 16 percent, Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.) with 13 percent and former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegScaled-back Pride Month poses challenges for fundraising, outreach Biden hopes to pick VP by Aug. 1 It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process MORE with 10 percent.
Sanders has a slightly narrower lead in Texas, garnering the support of 23 percent of likely voters there, trailed by Biden with 20 percent and Bloomberg with 18 percent. Warren has 14 percent in the Lone Star State with no other 2020 Democrat breaking double digits in the poll.
The polls show Sanders is continuing to ride his momentum after strong showings in Iowa and New Hampshire. Polls show the Vermont lawmaker is set to rake in a good chunk of delegates in the 15 Super Tuesday states and territories, including in North Carolina and Texas, which offer 110 and 228 pledged delegates, respectively.
“These polls cement Bernie Sanders’s status as the national front-runner. Moving from state to state, he is competing with different candidates for first place, but his campaign and place atop the rankings is ubiquitous. He will win delegates everywhere. It is indeed hard to imagine a scenario where the primary ends and he doesn’t have the most delegates if this trend continues,” said Joshua Dyck, director of the Center for Public Opinion and associate professor of political science at UMass Lowell.
The polls are also good signs for Bloomberg, who has thrust himself into the primary field’s top tier in most Super Tuesday polls with the help of a nationwide advertising blitz. However, it is still unclear how a rocky debate performance Thursday will impact his electoral chances.
Meanwhile, Klobuchar has a 6-point lead in Minnesota, which is set to allocate 75 pledged delegates on March 3. She gets the support of 27 percent of likely voters in the Gopher State, followed by Sanders with 21 percent, Warren with 16 percent and Buttigieg with 10 percent.
Polls from all three states still show a fluid race — about a third of likely voters in both North Carolina and Texas said they could still change their minds and 38 percent of likely Minnesota voters said the same. Sanders’s campaign had the highest percentage of supporters in all three states who said they were firm in their backing for their chosen candidate.
Sanders also had a lead in all three states when likely voters were asked who they thought would ultimately win the Democratic Party’s nomination.
UMass Lowell polled 450 likely North Carolina primary voters from Feb. 12-18, 600 likely Texas primary voters from Feb. 12-18 and 450 likely Minnesota primary voters from Feb. 12-19. The surveys have margins of error of 6.5 percent, 5.9 percent and 6.4 percent, respectively.
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